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CatIQ Releases Initial Loss Estimates for June Canadian Storms and Confirms Final Toronto 2024 Flood Losses

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This report details CatIQ's recent assessments of insured losses from severe weather events in Canada, covering initial estimates for June 2026 storms in the Prairies and Montreal, and the confirmed final loss for the July 2024 Toronto floods.

Unveiling the Financial Impact: Canada's Recent Weather Catastrophes

CatIQ's Initial Assessment of June 2026 Prairie Storms

CatIQ, Canada's primary source for insured loss and exposure data, has released its preliminary figures concerning the severe storm outbreak that affected southern Saskatchewan and Manitoba on June 9th and 10th, 2026. This event, characterized by tornadoes, large hail reaching up to 10cm in diameter, and unprecedented rainfall, has resulted in an estimated industry loss of CAD $728 million. This figure encompasses claims for commercial and residential properties, motor vehicles, and additional loss adjustment expenses, underscoring the widespread impact of the storms.

Examining the June 2026 Montreal Flooding Impact

In a separate incident on June 20th and 21st, 2026, a series of intense thunderstorms led to significant flooding in Montreal's West Island and surrounding areas, inundating hundreds of properties. CatIQ's initial industry loss estimate for this event stands at CAD $409 million. The nature of this flooding draws parallels to the flash floods that affected Toronto and southern Ontario in July 2024, highlighting a recurring pattern of urban flooding challenges.

Final Determination of Toronto's 2024 Flood Losses

Two years after the widespread flash flooding in Toronto and southern Ontario on July 15th and 16th, 2024, CatIQ has issued its definitive loss estimate. The confirmed total for this catastrophe is CAD $890 million. Notably, this figure shows remarkable stability compared to the CAD $899 million estimate provided a year prior, indicating a consistent assessment of the long-term financial repercussions of the event.

Upcoming Updates on Insured Loss Estimates

CatIQ has outlined its schedule for subsequent updates on the insurance market losses for the June 2026 Prairie and Montreal events. A second comprehensive update for the Prairie outbreak is slated for release on July 22nd, 2026, followed by the Montreal flooding update on August 5th, 2026. These updates, planned 45 days post-event, are crucial for the industry to refine their financial outlook and adjust strategies accordingly.

Insights from CatIQ's Leadership on Escalating Catastrophe Activity

Laura Twidle, President and CEO of CatIQ, provided commentary on the alarming start to the second quarter of 2026, noting a significantly higher-than-average level of catastrophe activity across Canada. She emphasized the unusual occurrence of multiple severe events directly impacting densely populated centers, which has spurred considerable activity within the insurance sector. Twidle drew comparisons to 2023, a year marked by numerous individual catastrophe events, and 2024, which set a record for severe weather-related losses in Canada, suggesting an unpredictable trajectory for the remainder of 2026 regarding extreme weather impacts.

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